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Journal Articles

​Carella, L. (forthcoming) Do Open Lists Increase Turnout? Probably Not, but They Increase Rates of Voter Error: New Evidence from Spain. Accepted at Electoral Studies. December 2025 version

Carella, L. and Raffaelli, F. (2026) From Context to Congruence : Immigration Salience and Voter Socialisation. European Journal of Political Research. First View. ​

Carella, L. (2024) ‘Who Runs for Higher Office? Electoral Institutions and Level-Hopping Attempts in Germany’s State Legislatures’, Legislative Studies Quarterly. Replication Files

Carella, L. and Eggers, A. C. (2024) ‘Electoral Systems and Geographic Representation’, British Journal of Political Science. Replication Files.

Carella, L. and Ford, R. (2020) ‘The Status Stratification of Radical Right Support: Reconsidering the Occupational Profile of UKIP’s Electorate’, Electoral Studies.

Other Publications

Carella, L. and Kelly, E. ‘Social Values’ (2024) in The State of Public Opinion 2023, UK in a Changing
Europe [think tank research report]

Carella, L. (2022) ‘The British Elections of 2019: Not quite what you read in the press’, Political Quarterly. [book review]
 

Raikes, L., Cox, E. and Carella, L. (2016) ‘State of the North 2016 : Building Northern Resilience in an Era of Global Uncertainty’, IPPR North. [policy report]

Working Papers

Electoral systems' effects on participation beyond Turnout: Evidence from Heterogeneity-in-Discontinuity Analysis from Italy and Poland. January 2026 version.

Predicting Candidate Preference Shares in Preferential-List PR Systems: A Logical Model of Intra-Party Competition. March 2023 version.

Immigration as a Mirror : Issue Spillover onto Social Identities, with Experimental Evidence from the

UK and Italy (with F. Raffaelli). Conference Paper

The ‘Anti-Cooptational’ Coalition: Explaining the Switch from Two-Round Systems to PR in early 20th
Century Europe (with K. Wegschaider). Conference Paper

From Galaxies of Notables to Programmatic Parties: The Party-Building Path to List-Proportional Representation (with Klaudia Wegschaider). Conference Paper

Work in Progress

Intra-Party Sources of Electoral Reform in the ‘PR wave’ (with Klaudia Wegschaider). Research Agenda.

Baby Boomers at the Ballot Box : Cohort Size and Representation across Electoral Systems.
 

Economic Effects of Immigration Restrictions: The 1921 Quota Act and Italian Rural Development.
 

Po​litical Consequences of Educational Expansion (with Ari Ray). 

​Subnational Electoral Institutions and Public Goods Distribution in a Multi-Level Polity: Evidence from Public Works Investments in the Italian South (1971-1984).

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