Departmental Lecturer in Comparative Politics
University of Oxford, DPIR
Journal Articles
Carella, L. (2026) Do Open Lists Increase Turnout? Probably Not, but They Increase Rates of Voter Error: New Evidence from Spain. Electoral Studies. 100(2026). Replication Files.
Carella, L. and Raffaelli, F. (2026) From Context to Congruence : Immigration Salience and Voter Socialisation. European Journal of Political Research. First View. Replication Files.
Carella, L. (2024) ‘Who Runs for Higher Office? Electoral Institutions and Level-Hopping Attempts in Germany’s State Legislatures’, Legislative Studies Quarterly. Replication Files.
Carella, L. and Eggers, A. C. (2024) ‘Electoral Systems and Geographic Representation’, British Journal of Political Science. Replication Files.
Carella, L. and Ford, R. (2020) ‘The Status Stratification of Radical Right Support: Reconsidering the Occupational Profile of UKIP’s Electorate’, Electoral Studies.
Other Publications
Carella, L. and Kelly, E. ‘Social Values’ (2024) in The State of Public Opinion 2023, UK in a Changing
Europe [think tank research report]
Carella, L. (2022) ‘The British Elections of 2019: Not quite what you read in the press’, Political Quarterly. [book review]
Raikes, L., Cox, E. and Carella, L. (2016) ‘State of the North 2016 : Building Northern Resilience in an Era of Global Uncertainty’, IPPR North. [policy report]
Working Papers
The Choice-Complexity Tradeoff : Effects of Electoral Rules on Invalid Voting. Draft version. Under Review.
Identity Spillovers: How the Politics of Immigration Shapes Class and Religious Self-Categorization (with Francesco Raffaelli). Under Review. Pre-Print available at SocArXiv (OSF). Newer draft version.
Predicting Candidate Preference Shares in Preferential-List PR Systems: A Logical Model of Intra-Party Competition. Draft version.
The ‘Anti-Cooptational’ Coalition: Explaining the Switch from Two-Round Systems to PR in early 20th
Century Europe (with Klaudia Wegschaider). Conference Paper.
From Galaxies of Notables to Programmatic Parties: The Party-Building Path to List-Proportional Representation (with Klaudia Wegschaider). Conference Paper.
Work in Progress
Intra-Party Sources of Electoral Reform in the ‘PR wave’ (with Klaudia Wegschaider). Research Agenda.
Baby Boomers at the Ballot Box : Cohort Size and Representation across Electoral Systems.
Economic Effects of Immigration Restrictions: The 1921 Quota Act and Italian Rural Development.
Political Consequences of Educational Expansion (with Ari Ray).
Immigration and the Afterlife of British Class Politics (with Sarah Ledoux).
Subnational Electoral Institutions and Public Goods Distribution in a Multi-Level Polity: Evidence from Public Works Investments in the Italian South (1971-1984).
